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Oracle Stock Jumps 11%: $225 Billion Target — and a $20 Billion Cap

2026-10-28

Oracle stock jumped 11% on Wednesday, October 28, 2026, closing at $144.54 — its best day in five months — after the company used its investor day in Las Vegas to target $225 billion or more in revenue by fiscal 2030 and, crucially, to cap new fundraising at $20 billion through 2030. The limit, not just the big number, is what calmed fears about the cost of Oracle's AI data-center build-out.

What happened

At its investor day in Las Vegas on Wednesday, Oracle set out long-term targets that imply average annual revenue growth of about 35% through fiscal 2030. Alongside revenue of $225 billion or more, the company targeted a non-GAAP operating margin of 40% or higher and non-GAAP earnings per share of $21 or more by that year, according to InvestingLive's summary of the event and Investor's Business Daily.

For the nearer term, Oracle reaffirmed its fiscal 2027 outlook: revenue of at least $90 billion and adjusted earnings of $8.10 a share. No quarterly results were released — this was a guidance and strategy event, not an earnings report.

The $20 billion cap investors cheered

Chief Financial Officer Hilary Maxson told investors Oracle will raise no more than $20 billion in additional capital through fiscal 2030, split roughly evenly between debt and equity, and called it the final amount needed for the current investment cycle. That cap excludes refinancing of existing debt and comes on top of a $20 billion at-the-market equity raise already completed in the first quarter of fiscal 2027, as reported by CTech.

Oracle also said capital spending will peak in fiscal 2027 and 2028, free cash flow will turn positive in the second half of fiscal 2028, and free cash flow will reach at least $30 billion in fiscal 2029. That $30 billion figure stood out because analysts polled by FactSet had been expecting a free-cash outflow of about $7 billion for fiscal 2029, according to Investor's Business Daily. Oracle is also targeting net debt below 3.5 times adjusted EBITDA in fiscal 2029 and says growth from fiscal 2029 should be self-funded.

Why it is blowing up

Oracle had become a focal point for worries about the AI boom. Its cloud backlog has grown to more than $660 billion, headlined by at least $300 billion in reported commitments from OpenAI, but building the data centers to serve those contracts requires enormous upfront spending. Free cash flow has been negative for the previous six quarters, the company has raised debt and sold equity to fund the expansion, and S&P Global Ratings cut its rating to BBB- in July — just one notch above junk.

That is why a hard ceiling mattered. As Investopedia put it, the plan to return to positive free cash flow eased worries around AI spending. A capped equity component also limits dilution concerns, while a credible path to self-funded capacity speaks to the wider market question hanging over Alphabet and Microsoft earnings the same evening: can heavy AI spending pay for itself?

The move was one of the day's biggest. The Motley Fool's market roundup listed Oracle's 11% surge among Wednesday's largest moves, alongside Vertiv's jump and F5's plunge of more than 20%. Even after Wednesday's gain, Oracle shares are still down about 25% this year and roughly half their September 2025 record highs, and the stock slipped about 2.4% in after-hours trading to around $141.06 — a reminder that the targets are long-dated.

What to watch next

The first major checkpoint is the turn to positive free cash flow in the second half of fiscal 2028. Until then, investors will watch whether capital spending really peaks as promised, whether the $660 billion backlog converts to revenue on schedule, and whether Oracle holds the $20 billion funding cap. Slippage on any of those would test a stock that has just been rewarded for discipline as much as ambition.

This report describes what Oracle presented and how the market reacted. It is not financial advice, and it does not recommend buying, selling, or holding any security.

Frequently Asked Questions

Why did Oracle stock jump 11% on October 28, 2026?

Oracle jumped 11% to close at $144.54 after its Las Vegas investor day, where it targeted $225 billion-plus revenue by fiscal 2030, forecast at least $30 billion of free cash flow in fiscal 2029, and capped new fundraising at $20 billion through 2030.

What is Oracle's $20 billion funding cap?

Oracle said it will raise no more than $20 billion in additional capital from fiscal 2027 through fiscal 2030, split roughly evenly between debt and equity, excluding refinancing. CFO Hilary Maxson called it the final amount needed for the current investment cycle.

What are Oracle's fiscal 2030 targets?

Oracle targeted revenue of $225 billion or more, a non-GAAP operating margin of 40% or higher, and non-GAAP earnings of $21 or more per share in fiscal 2030, implying about 35% average annual revenue growth.

When does Oracle expect positive free cash flow?

Oracle expects free cash flow to turn positive in the second half of fiscal 2028, after capital spending peaks in fiscal 2027 and 2028, and to reach at least $30 billion in fiscal 2029.

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