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Stellantis Stock Surges 13%: Q3 Beat Revives the Turnaround

2026-10-29

Stellantis stock surged 13% in New York and 15.4% in Milan after the Jeep and Ram owner beat third-quarter revenue expectations, lifted adjusted operating profit to 256 million euros, and reaffirmed its full-year guidance. For a share price down about 57% this year, even a soft quarter was enough — because investors had expected far worse.

What happened

Stellantis reported third-quarter revenue of 37.6 billion euros (about $41.8 billion) on Wednesday, October 28, 2026, up 1% from a year earlier and ahead of market expectations of 36.37 billion euros. Adjusted operating profit rose sharply to 256 million euros, from 90 million euros a year earlier — an increase of about 184% on CNBC's calculation.

The bottom line was still thin. Seeking Alpha reported an adjusted diluted net loss of 0.01 euros per share, which nevertheless beat market estimates by 0.03 euros. Industrial free cash flow was negative 4 billion euros, an improvement from negative 4.3 billion euros a year earlier, though it missed a Wall Street forecast for negative 3.4 billion euros, according to Yonhap Infomax.

The share reaction was immediate and international. Stellantis closed at $4.68 in New York, up 13.04%, while its Milan listing closed at 4.28 euros, up 15.4%. Both listings remain sharply lower for the year.

Why it's blowing up

The jump was less about a booming quarter than about a turnaround that did not fall apart. Chief Executive Antonio Filosa said the company is ahead of schedule on the turnaround plan announced in May, is on track to achieve at least 40% of its 6 billion euro annual run-rate cost-reduction target by year-end, and expects to exceed the previously announced cost-cutting effort by 2028, including 2.4 billion euros to start 2027.

Stellantis also reconfirmed its 2026 guidance: mid-single-digit revenue growth, a low-single-digit adjusted operating margin, and an improvement in industrial free cash flow. Crucially, it kept its target of positive industrial free cash flow in 2027 — the promise investors have been watching most closely.

RBC Capital Markets analyst Tom Narayan captured the mood in a note quoted by CNBC: the third quarter was soft, but consensus expectations were far lower, and the key point was that 2026 guidance was maintained while other automakers and suppliers are cutting guidance on elevated costs.

Key facts

  • Revenue: 37.6 billion euros in Q3, up 1% year on year, beating 36.37 billion euros expected.
  • Adjusted operating profit: 256 million euros, up from 90 million euros a year earlier.
  • North America: Back to profitability, with 64 million euros, helped by the Jeep Cherokee Hybrid and the Ram 1500 Hemi V8, according to Yonhap Infomax.
  • Cash flow: Industrial free cash flow was negative 4 billion euros in the quarter, and analysts cited by Infomax estimate negative 2.98 billion euros for the full year — implying a large cash inflow would be needed in the fourth quarter after 4.9 billion euros was burned through September.
  • Turnaround plan: A 60 billion euro plan that includes investing 36 billion euros across its brands, with about 60% directed to North America, new and refreshed models, and a target of about 190 billion euros in revenue by 2030 with a 7% adjusted operating margin, up from 154 billion euros last year, according to CNBC.
  • Context: The stock is still down about 57% year to date, and European carmakers including Stellantis face intense competition in China from domestic brands such as BYD, Geely and Xiaomi.

What's next

The next test is cash, not headlines. To hit the forecasts cited by analysts, Stellantis needs a strong fourth-quarter swing in industrial free cash flow, followed by positive free cash flow in 2027. Filosa told investors he is very confident in reaffirming the 2026 guidance, including the 2027 free-cash-flow target. Whether the cost cuts, lineup restructuring and North American investment deliver that swing will decide whether Wednesday's surge was the start of a recovery or a relief rally in a stock that had fallen a long way.

This report is news coverage of a market move, not financial advice.

Sources

FAQ

Why did Stellantis stock surge 13%?

Third-quarter revenue of 37.6 billion euros beat expectations, adjusted operating profit rose to 256 million euros, and the company reaffirmed its 2026 guidance and its target for positive free cash flow in 2027.

How did Stellantis shares do in Milan?

The Milan listing rose even more than New York, closing up 15.4% at 4.28 euros, while the New York listing closed up 13.04% at $4.68.

Is Stellantis profitable again in North America?

Yes, on the measure reported by Yonhap Infomax. North America returned to profitability with 64 million euros, helped by the Jeep Cherokee Hybrid and Ram 1500 Hemi V8.

What is the biggest risk in the Stellantis story?

Cash flow. Industrial free cash flow was still negative 4 billion euros in the quarter, so delivering the promised improvement in 2026 and positive free cash flow in 2027 is the key test ahead.

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